{
 "question": "Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/metamask-fdv-above-3b-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-06",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0765,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.07,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.0695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.064,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.0615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.051,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.0515,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.0505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.0505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.065,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.055,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.064,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.067,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.053,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.0525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.0525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.0525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.0525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.036,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.0365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.0365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.0365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.0375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.089,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.083,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.1045,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.0855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.0725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.0725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.078,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.081,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.0855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.0855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.094,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.079,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.0795,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.0785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.0785,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}