{
 "question": "Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/predict-fun-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-06",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.83,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.815,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.795,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.76,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.745,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.73,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.735,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.715,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.71,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.705,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.72,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.715,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.715,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.7,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}