{
 "question": "Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/predict-fun-fdv-above-400m-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-03",
 "first_tracked": "2026-09-21",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-09-21",
     "probability": 0.58,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-22",
     "probability": 0.57,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-23",
     "probability": 0.61,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-24",
     "probability": 0.655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-25",
     "probability": 0.65,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-26",
     "probability": 0.685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-28",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-29",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.62,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-05",
     "probability": 0.595,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.87,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-16",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-17",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-18",
     "probability": 0.82,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-19",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "probability": 0.83,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-21",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-22",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-23",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-24",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-25",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-26",
     "probability": 0.955,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-27",
     "probability": 0.928,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "probability": 0.975,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "probability": 0.9775,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-30",
     "probability": 0.9525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "probability": 0.9575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.951,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "probability": 0.963,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-03",
     "probability": 0.958,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}