{
 "question": "Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/predict-fun-fdv-above-500m-one-day-after-launch",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-06",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.685,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.74,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.655,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.755,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.805,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.825,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.81,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.8,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-16",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-17",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-18",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-19",
     "probability": 0.78,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-27",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "probability": 0.9615,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "probability": 0.957,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-30",
     "probability": 0.941,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "probability": 0.9475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.919,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "probability": 0.9505,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-03",
     "probability": 0.942,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "probability": 0.9445,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}