{
 "question": "Who will be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-be-the-2026-f1-constructors-champion",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-09-06",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Mercedes",
   "history": [
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     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.835,
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    },
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     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.845,
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    },
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     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.845,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.84,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.835,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.895,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.925,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.915,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.905,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.961,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Red Bull Racing",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
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    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
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     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.0015,
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     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
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     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.0035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.0035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.0045,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.003,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.003,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.003,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.002,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
     "probability": 0.002,
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    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-02",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.0025,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-06",
     "probability": 0.0015,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}