{
 "question": "Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination.html",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-07-09",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1).",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "J.D. Vance",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.4065
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.4035
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.407
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Ron DeSantis",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.026
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0255
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.024
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Vivek Ramaswamy",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0125
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0125
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0125
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Elon Musk",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0095
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Greg Abbott",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0095
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Rand Paul",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0095
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Ted Cruz",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0095
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Tulsi Gabbard",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.0095
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.0095
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}