{
 "question": "Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/who-will-win-the-nobel-peace-prize",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-10-28",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-13",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Doctors Without Borders",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "probability": 0.0255,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Melania Trump",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "probability": 0.0125,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}