{
 "question": "Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-anthropic-s-valuation-hit-high-2-5t-by-december-31",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-31",
 "first_tracked": "2026-08-01",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.22,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.22,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.215,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-05",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-06",
     "probability": 0.26,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.23,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.24,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.225,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.23,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.25,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.33,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.36,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.385,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.44,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-20",
     "probability": 0.495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.46,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-22",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-23",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-24",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-25",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-26",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-27",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.475,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.47,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-30",
     "probability": 0.465,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-31",
     "probability": 0.48,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}