{
 "question": "Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-any-uranium-enrichment-cap-1-year-be-in-a-us-iran-deal-in-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-01",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-21",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.3,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.29,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.3,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.33,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.315,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-04",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-05",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.13,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}