{
 "question": "Will at least 50% of scheduled passenger and cargo flights at JFK be cancelled October 21, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-at-least-50-of-scheduled-passenger-and-cargo-flights-at-jfk-be",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-10",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-28",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "At least 50%",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.06,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.06,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.026,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.027,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-30",
     "probability": 0.032,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-31",
     "probability": 0.0335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-01",
     "probability": 0.0285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-02",
     "probability": 0.0245,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-03",
     "probability": 0.0295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-04",
     "probability": 0.0275,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.019,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.02,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.0195,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}