{
 "question": "Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-09",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.14,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.135,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-18",
     "probability": 0.115,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.13,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-06",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-07",
     "probability": 0.09,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-08",
     "probability": 0.095,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-09",
     "probability": 0.105,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-10",
     "probability": 0.1,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-11",
     "probability": 0.1,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-12",
     "probability": 0.09,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-13",
     "probability": 0.09,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-16",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.06,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "probability": 0.075,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}