{
 "question": "Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-karolina-muchova-win-the-wimbledon-women-s-singles",
 "category": "sports",
 "as_of": "2026-07-11",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Karolina Muchova",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-06-09",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-10",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-13",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-14",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "date": "2026-06-15",
     "probability": 0.0,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-16",
     "probability": 0.01,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "date": "2026-06-17",
     "probability": 0.01,
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    },
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     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-20",
     "probability": 0.01,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-22",
     "probability": 0.01,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-23",
     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-24",
     "probability": 0.01,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-06-25",
     "probability": 0.01,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
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     "probability": 0.02,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "date": "2026-06-27",
     "probability": 0.03,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
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     "probability": 0.04,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "date": "2026-06-29",
     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "backfill"
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     "probability": 0.04,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
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     "source": "backfill"
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     "source": "backfill"
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     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "backfill"
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     "probability": 0.05,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-05",
     "probability": 0.06,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-06",
     "probability": 0.12,
     "source": "backfill"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.525,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}