{
 "question": "Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-republicans-win-alaska-iowa-and-maine-and-lose-kansas-michigan",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-11-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-31",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-31",
     "probability": 0.0035,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "probability": 0.0005,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}