{
 "question": "Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-strc-hit-100-by-september-30",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-08-19",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-20",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-20",
     "probability": 0.175,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
     "probability": 0.175,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.175,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-23",
     "probability": 0.145,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-24",
     "probability": 0.14,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-25",
     "probability": 0.14,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-26",
     "probability": 0.12,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-27",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-28",
     "probability": 0.21,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-29",
     "probability": 0.16,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.37,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.355,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.405,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.38,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.345,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.295,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-19",
     "probability": 0.285,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}