{
 "question": "Will the Senate vote on CLARITY Act?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-senate-vote-on-clarity-act",
 "category": "politics",
 "as_of": "2026-08-18",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-11",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.95,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.95,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.945,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.94,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "name": "Before Oct 1, 2026",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-08-07",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-08",
     "probability": 0.91,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-09",
     "probability": 0.9,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-10",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-11",
     "probability": 0.865,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-12",
     "probability": 0.855,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-13",
     "probability": 0.875,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-14",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-15",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-16",
     "probability": 0.88,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-17",
     "probability": 0.885,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-08-18",
     "probability": 0.85,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}