{
 "question": "Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-the-us-strike-8-countries-in-2026",
 "category": "other",
 "as_of": "2026-09-06",
 "first_tracked": "2026-07-07",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-07-07",
     "probability": 0.353,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-08",
     "probability": 0.351,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-09",
     "probability": 0.3415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-10",
     "probability": 0.3495,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-11",
     "probability": 0.348,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-12",
     "probability": 0.3365,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-13",
     "probability": 0.348,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-14",
     "probability": 0.35,
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    {
     "date": "2026-07-15",
     "probability": 0.3415,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-16",
     "probability": 0.335,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-17",
     "probability": 0.375,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-07-19",
     "probability": 0.4285,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-07-21",
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    },
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     "date": "2026-07-22",
     "probability": 0.434,
     "source": "tracked"
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     "probability": 0.4445,
     "source": "tracked"
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     "date": "2026-07-24",
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     "probability": 0.411,
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     "source": "tracked"
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     "date": "2026-08-13",
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     "date": "2026-08-17",
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     "probability": 0.6325,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
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     "date": "2026-08-19",
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     "source": "tracked"
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     "probability": 0.592,
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     "date": "2026-08-21",
     "probability": 0.6095,
     "source": "tracked"
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    },
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    },
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     "date": "2026-08-28",
     "probability": 0.5925,
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    },
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     "date": "2026-08-29",
     "probability": 0.589,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-09-01",
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    },
    {
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    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}