{
 "question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?",
 "url": "https://themorningline.news/odds/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-january-2027",
 "category": "econ",
 "as_of": "2026-11-04",
 "first_tracked": "2026-10-01",
 "license": "CC BY 4.0 — free to reuse with a link back",
 "note": "Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts (0-1). Rows with source 'backfill' are pre-tracking reference history from the market's own records, never published by us.",
 "outcomes": [
  {
   "name": "Yes",
   "history": [
    {
     "date": "2026-10-01",
     "probability": 0.54,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-02",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-03",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-04",
     "probability": 0.645,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-14",
     "probability": 0.555,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-10-15",
     "probability": 0.575,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-01",
     "probability": 0.725,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-02",
     "probability": 0.695,
     "source": "tracked"
    },
    {
     "date": "2026-11-04",
     "probability": 0.785,
     "source": "tracked"
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}