The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

18%

Today’s odds

As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 18%.

▼ 1 since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Yes — Jul 7: 18%Yes — Jul 8: 18%Yes — Jul 9: 18%18%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 8TodayMove
Yes18%18%▼ 1
Full history table
DateYes
2026-07-0918%
2026-07-0818%
2026-07-0718%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.

The Morning Line publishes probability forecasts built from market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. Forecasts are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.