The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

8%

Today’s odds

As of July 9, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Nashville SC leads at 8%.

Unchanged since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Nashville SCChicago Fire FCSan Jose EarthquakesSeattle Sounders FCSt. Louis City SC
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Nashville SC — Jul 7: 8%Nashville SC — Jul 8: 8%Nashville SC — Jul 9: 8%8%Chicago Fire FC — Jul 7: 4%Chicago Fire FC — Jul 8: 4%Chicago Fire FC — Jul 9: 4%San Jose Earthquakes — Jul 7: 4%San Jose Earthquakes — Jul 9: 4%Seattle Sounders FC — Jul 7: 4%Seattle Sounders FC — Jul 8: 4%Seattle Sounders FC — Jul 9: 4%St. Louis City SC — Jul 7: 0.4%St. Louis City SC — Jul 9: 0.4%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 8TodayMove
Nashville SC8%8%
Chicago Fire FC4%4%
San Jose Earthquakes4%
Seattle Sounders FC4%4%
St. Louis City SC0.4%
Full history table
DateNashville SCChicago Fire FCSan Jose EarthquakesSeattle Sounders FCSt. Louis City SC
2026-07-098%4%4%4%0.4%
2026-07-088%4%4%
2026-07-078%4%4%4%0.4%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.