The Morning Line

Odds Tracker

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · updated every morning

12%

Today’s odds

As of July 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 12%.

Unchanged since the previous edition. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Yes — Jul 7: 12%Yes — Jul 8: 12%Yes — Jul 9: 12%12%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeJul 8TodayMove
Yes12%12%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-07-0912%
2026-07-0812%
2026-07-0712%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: JSON · CSV. Updated every morning; past values never change.