Final tracked odds
As of August 5, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 96%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 70 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner?
Sports · tracked since August 3, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 5, 2026
96%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 4 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | 95% | 96% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | 96% |
| 2026-08-04 | 95% |
| 2026-08-03 | 30% |
| 2026-08-02 * | 29% |
| 2026-08-01 * | 25% |
| 2026-07-31 * | 26% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 5, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 96%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 30% on August 3, 2026 to 96% on August 5, 2026 — a change of 66 points.
- Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 30% and 96%. The final reading of 96% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Guemes vs Tristan Suarez Winner” for 3 days, since August 3, 2026. As of August 5, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 96%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 30% to 96%, ranging between 30% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 5, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.