The Morning Line

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

40%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 40%.

▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 17Jul 30Aug 26Sep 6Yes — Jul 7: 54%Yes — Sep 6: 40%40%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Yes38%40%▲ 1
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-0640%
2026-09-0538%
2026-09-0438%
2026-09-0239%
2026-09-0142%
2026-08-3142%
2026-08-3044%
2026-08-2946%
2026-08-2846%
2026-08-2746%
2026-08-2646%
2026-08-2546%
2026-08-2446%
2026-08-2345%
2026-08-2245%
2026-08-2144%
2026-08-2044%
2026-08-1944%
2026-08-1745%
2026-08-1545%
2026-07-3142%
2026-07-3040%
2026-07-2946%
2026-07-2846%
2026-07-2746%
2026-07-2646%
2026-07-2547%
2026-07-2447%
2026-07-2348%
2026-07-2248%
2026-07-1950%
2026-07-1850%
2026-07-1750%
2026-07-1650%
2026-07-1552%
2026-07-1454%
2026-07-1354%
2026-07-1255%
2026-07-1155%
2026-07-1055%
2026-07-0955%
2026-07-0853%
2026-07-0754%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 40%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?
Down. Over the 43 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 54% on July 7, 2026 to 40% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 14 points.
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?
Over 43 tracked days the odds ranged between 38% and 55%. The current reading of 40% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch” for 43 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 40%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 54% to 40%, ranging between 38% and 55% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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