Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 40%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
Today’s odds
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Sep 5 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38% | 40% | ▲ 1 |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 40% |
| 2026-09-05 | 38% |
| 2026-09-04 | 38% |
| 2026-09-02 | 39% |
| 2026-09-01 | 42% |
| 2026-08-31 | 42% |
| 2026-08-30 | 44% |
| 2026-08-29 | 46% |
| 2026-08-28 | 46% |
| 2026-08-27 | 46% |
| 2026-08-26 | 46% |
| 2026-08-25 | 46% |
| 2026-08-24 | 46% |
| 2026-08-23 | 45% |
| 2026-08-22 | 45% |
| 2026-08-21 | 44% |
| 2026-08-20 | 44% |
| 2026-08-19 | 44% |
| 2026-08-17 | 45% |
| 2026-08-15 | 45% |
| 2026-07-31 | 42% |
| 2026-07-30 | 40% |
| 2026-07-29 | 46% |
| 2026-07-28 | 46% |
| 2026-07-27 | 46% |
| 2026-07-26 | 46% |
| 2026-07-25 | 47% |
| 2026-07-24 | 47% |
| 2026-07-23 | 48% |
| 2026-07-22 | 48% |
| 2026-07-19 | 50% |
| 2026-07-18 | 50% |
| 2026-07-17 | 50% |
| 2026-07-16 | 50% |
| 2026-07-15 | 52% |
| 2026-07-14 | 54% |
| 2026-07-13 | 54% |
| 2026-07-12 | 55% |
| 2026-07-11 | 55% |
| 2026-07-10 | 55% |
| 2026-07-09 | 55% |
| 2026-07-08 | 53% |
| 2026-07-07 | 54% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch” for 43 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 40%. The chance for a yes has fallen from 54% to 40%, ranging between 38% and 55% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.