Final tracked odds
As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 98%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since October 16, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 19, 2026
98%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 18 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 190 | 98% | 98% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Above 190 |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 98% |
| 2026-10-18 | 98% |
| 2026-10-17 | 98% |
| 2026-10-16 | 98% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027” for 4 days, since October 16, 2026. As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 98%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 98% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.