The Morning Line

Who will be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Culture · tracked since July 7, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

6%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Avengers: Doomsday leads at 6%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Avengers: DoomsdayThe Odyssey
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 7Jul 19Aug 12Aug 25Sep 6Avengers: Doomsday — Aug 19: 6%Avengers: Doomsday — Sep 6: 6%6%The Odyssey — Aug 1: 1.1%The Odyssey — Sep 6: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Avengers: Doomsday6%6%
The Odyssey0.1%0.1%
Full history table
DateAvengers: DoomsdayThe Odyssey
2026-09-066%0.1%
2026-09-056%0.1%
2026-09-046%0.1%
2026-09-036%0.1%
2026-09-026%0.1%
2026-09-016%0.1%
2026-08-318%0.1%
2026-08-308%0.1%
2026-08-298%0.1%
2026-08-288%0.1%
2026-08-278%0.1%
2026-08-260.1%
2026-08-256%0.1%
2026-08-246%0.1%
2026-08-236%0.1%
2026-08-226%0.1%
2026-08-216%0.1%
2026-08-200.1%
2026-08-196%0.1%
2026-08-180.1%
2026-08-170.1%
2026-08-160.1%
2026-08-150.1%
2026-08-140.1%
2026-08-130.1%
2026-08-120.1%
2026-08-110.1%
2026-08-100.1%
2026-08-090.1%
2026-08-080.2%
2026-08-070.2%
2026-08-060.2%
2026-08-050.5%
2026-08-040.7%
2026-08-030.9%
2026-08-02
2026-08-011.1%
2026-07-19
2026-07-18
2026-07-17
2026-07-16
2026-07-15
2026-07-14
2026-07-13
2026-07-12
2026-07-11
2026-07-10
2026-07-09
2026-07-08
2026-07-07

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will be the top grossing movie of 2026 — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 6%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will be the top grossing movie of 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 17 tracked days the odds held near 6%, ending at 6% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will be the top grossing movie of 2026” for 17 days, since July 7, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Avengers: Doomsday leads at 6%. The chance for the leading outcome has held near 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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