The Morning Line

Who will win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Everything Else · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 16, 2026

0.1%

Final tracked odds

As of October 16, 2026, this is wide open — no outcome clears 10% in market-consensus odds; Freddy Peralta leads at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Freddy PeraltaBrandon Woodruff
0%25%50%75%100%Jul 20Aug 6Oct 5Oct 10Oct 16Freddy Peralta — Jul 20: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 1: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 2: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 3: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 4: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 5: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Aug 6: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 1: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 2: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 3: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 4: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 5: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 8: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 9: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 10: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 11: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 12: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 13: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 14: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 15: 0.1%Freddy Peralta — Oct 16: 0.1%0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 1: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 2: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 3: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 4: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 5: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Aug 6: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 1: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 2: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 5: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 6: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 7: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 8: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 9: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 10: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 11: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 12: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 13: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 14: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 15: 0.1%Brandon Woodruff — Oct 16: 0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeOct 15TodayMove
Freddy Peralta0.1%0.1%—
Brandon Woodruff0.1%0.1%—
Full history table
DateFreddy PeraltaBrandon Woodruff
2026-10-160.1%0.1%
2026-10-150.1%0.1%
2026-10-140.1%0.1%
2026-10-130.1%0.1%
2026-10-120.1%0.1%
2026-10-110.1%0.1%
2026-10-100.1%0.1%
2026-10-090.1%0.1%
2026-10-080.1%0.1%
2026-10-07—0.1%
2026-10-06—0.1%
2026-10-050.1%0.1%
2026-10-040.1%—
2026-10-030.1%—
2026-10-020.1%0.1%
2026-10-010.1%0.1%
2026-08-060.1%0.1%
2026-08-050.1%0.1%
2026-08-040.1%0.1%
2026-08-030.1%0.1%
2026-08-020.1%0.1%
2026-08-010.1%0.1%
2026-07-200.1%—

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Who will win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, October 16, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Who will win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 21 tracked days the odds held near 0.1%, ending at 0.1% on October 16, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Who will win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award” for 21 days, since July 20, 2026. As of October 16, 2026, no outcome clears 10% — Freddy Peralta leads at 0.1%. The final tracked chance for the leading outcome has held near 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 16, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

More questions we track

The Morning Line reports market-consensus odds — the aggregated judgment of thousands of people with real money on the line, refreshed every morning. The numbers are for news and informational purposes only and are not financial or investment advice. Probabilities move; the numbers on this page were current when the edition was published.

Every number here is free to download and reuse under CC BY 4.0 — see the open data.