Final tracked odds
As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 16%.
▲ 4 since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?
Everything Else · tracked since October 17, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 19, 2026
16%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 18 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kelly | 12% | 16% | ▲ 4 |
Full history table
| Date | Anna Kelly |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 16% |
| 2026-10-18 | 12% |
| 2026-10-17 | 12% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 16%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 12% on October 17, 2026 to 16% on October 19, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029” for 3 days, since October 17, 2026. As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 16%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 12% to 16%, ranging between 12% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.