Final tracked odds
As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 98%.
▲ 8 since the previous update. ▲ 8 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Everything Else · tracked since August 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 27, 2026
98%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 19 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | 98% | ▲ 8 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 98% |
| 2026-08-19 | 90% |
| 2026-08-18 | 85% |
| 2026-08-17 | 88% |
| 2026-08-16 | 93% |
| 2026-08-14 | 92% |
| 2026-08-13 | 90% |
| 2026-08-12 | 90% |
| 2026-08-11 | 90% |
| 2026-08-10 | 90% |
| 2026-08-09 | 88% |
| 2026-08-08 | 87% |
| 2026-08-07 | 90% |
| 2026-08-06 | 86% |
| 2026-08-05 | 86% |
| 2026-08-04 | 89% |
| 2026-08-03 | 90% |
| 2026-08-02 | 88% |
| 2026-08-01 | 90% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 27, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 98%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 19 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 90% on August 1, 2026 to 98% on August 27, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 19 tracked days the odds ranged between 85% and 98%. The final reading of 98% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027” for 19 days, since August 1, 2026. As of August 27, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 98%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 90% to 98%, ranging between 85% and 98% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 27, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.