Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Politics · tracked since October 17, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 19, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

▼ 11 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 12% on October 19, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 18	Today	Move
Before Oct 23, 2026	16%	4%	▼ 11

Full history table

Date	Before Oct 23, 2026
2026-10-19	4%
2026-10-18	16%
2026-10-17	8%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 19, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 3 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 8% on October 17, 2026 to 4% on October 19, 2026 — a change of 4 points.
Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 3 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 16%. The final reading of 4% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Donald Trump issue any announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) on naming the next White House Press Secretary (excluding acting/interim) before Oct 23, 2026” for 3 days, since October 17, 2026. As of October 19, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 8% to 4%, ranging between 4% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 19, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.