Final tracked odds
As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 26%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 31, 2026
26%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Aug 30 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | 26% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | 26% |
| 2026-08-30 | 26% |
| 2026-08-29 | 26% |
| 2026-08-28 | 38% |
| 2026-08-27 | 20% |
| 2026-08-26 | 20% |
| 2026-08-25 | 20% |
| 2026-08-24 | 22% |
| 2026-08-23 | 22% |
| 2026-08-22 | 22% |
| 2026-07-19 | 24% |
| 2026-07-18 | 24% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, August 31, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 26%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 12 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 24% on July 18, 2026 to 26% on August 31, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 12 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 38%. The final reading of 26% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 12 days, since July 18, 2026. As of August 31, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 26%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 24% to 26%, ranging between 20% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 31, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.