The Morning Line

Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

MLB · tracked since July 20, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 11, 2026

1.1%

Final tracked odds

As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 1.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 20Aug 2Aug 5Aug 8Aug 11Yes — Jul 20: 2%Yes — Jul 21: 1.2%Yes — Aug 1: 1.2%Yes — Aug 2: 1.1%Yes — Aug 3: 1.1%Yes — Aug 4: 1.1%Yes — Aug 5: 1.5%Yes — Aug 6: 1.1%Yes — Aug 7: 1.1%Yes — Aug 8: 1.1%Yes — Aug 9: 1.1%Yes — Aug 10: 1.1%Yes — Aug 11: 1.1%1.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeAug 10TodayMove
Yes1.1%1.1%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-08-111.1%
2026-08-101.1%
2026-08-091.1%
2026-08-081.1%
2026-08-071.1%
2026-08-061.1%
2026-08-051.5%
2026-08-041.1%
2026-08-031.1%
2026-08-021.1%
2026-08-011.2%
2026-07-211.2%
2026-07-202%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season — what were the odds?
As of the last morning we tracked it, August 11, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 1.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season — how much did the odds move?
Barely. Across 13 tracked days the odds held near 2%, ending at 1.1% on August 11, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season” for 13 days, since July 20, 2026. As of August 11, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 1.1%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 2% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 11, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.

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