Today’s odds
As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 50%.
▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since July 12, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET
50%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 2 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56% | 50% | ▼ 7 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | 50% |
| 2026-11-02 | 56% |
| 2026-11-01 | 60% |
| 2026-10-31 | 48% |
| 2026-10-30 | 56% |
| 2026-10-29 | 56% |
| 2026-10-28 | 53% |
| 2026-10-27 | 54% |
| 2026-10-26 | 48% |
| 2026-10-24 | 43% |
| 2026-10-23 | 48% |
| 2026-10-22 | 50% |
| 2026-10-21 | 46% |
| 2026-10-20 | 55% |
| 2026-10-19 | 51% |
| 2026-10-18 | 52% |
| 2026-10-17 | 58% |
| 2026-10-16 | 55% |
| 2026-10-15 | 55% |
| 2026-10-14 | 61% |
| 2026-10-13 | 62% |
| 2026-10-12 | 72% |
| 2026-10-11 | 60% |
| 2026-10-10 | 52% |
| 2026-10-09 | 50% |
| 2026-10-08 | 60% |
| 2026-10-07 | 61% |
| 2026-10-06 | 57% |
| 2026-10-05 | 57% |
| 2026-10-04 | 58% |
| 2026-10-03 | 64% |
| 2026-10-02 | 60% |
| 2026-10-01 | 64% |
| 2026-08-10 | 31% |
| 2026-08-09 | 32% |
| 2026-08-08 | 24% |
| 2026-08-07 | 22% |
| 2026-08-06 | 24% |
| 2026-08-05 | 22% |
| 2026-08-04 | 20% |
| 2026-08-03 | 19% |
| 2026-08-02 | 18% |
| 2026-08-01 | 18% |
| 2026-07-20 | 26% |
| 2026-07-12 | 26% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 50%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 45 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on July 12, 2026 to 50% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 24 points.
- Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 45 tracked days the odds ranged between 18% and 72%. The current reading of 50% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026” for 45 days, since July 12, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 50%. The chance for a yes has risen from 26% to 50%, ranging between 18% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.