UFC · tracked since August 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 15, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 24% on August 15, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Aug 14 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 24% | 24% | — |
| Date | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 24% |
| 2026-08-14 | 24% |
| 2026-08-13 | 26% |
| 2026-08-12 | 26% |
| 2026-08-11 | 26% |
| 2026-08-10 | 26% |
| 2026-08-09 | 22% |
| 2026-08-08 | 22% |
| 2026-08-07 | 22% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Ian Machado Garry win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026” for 9 days, since August 7, 2026. As of August 15, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 24%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 22% to 24%, ranging between 22% and 26% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 15, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.