Final tracked odds
As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.2%.
▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 7 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
Everything Else · tracked since October 21, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 26, 2026
0.2%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 21 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | 0.2% | ▼ 7 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | 0.2% |
| 2026-10-21 | 7% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40% — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 0.2%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40% — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 7% on October 21, 2026 to 0.2% on October 26, 2026 — a change of 7 points.
- Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40% — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 0.2% and 7%. The final reading of 0.2% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%” for 2 days, since October 21, 2026. As of October 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.2%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 7% to 0.2%, ranging between 0.2% and 7% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.