Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 1, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 34% on August 27, 2026 to 28% on September 1, 2026 — a change of 6 points.

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 28% and 34%. The final reading of 28% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 27, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 1, 2026

28%

Final tracked odds

As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 28%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 31	Today	Move
Jack Barton	28%	28%	—

Full history table

Date	Jack Barton
2026-09-01	28%
2026-08-31	28%
2026-08-30	28%
2026-08-29	28%
2026-08-28	28%
2026-08-27	34%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 1, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 28%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 34% on August 27, 2026 to 28% on September 1, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 28% and 34%. The final reading of 28% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond” for 6 days, since August 27, 2026. As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 28%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 34% to 28%, ranging between 28% and 34% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 1, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.