Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 74%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — did the odds go up or down?

Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on August 3, 2026 to 74% on August 9, 2026 — a change of 70 points.

Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 80%. The final reading of 74% sits inside that range.

Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 3, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 9, 2026

74%

Final tracked odds

As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 74%.

▼ 6 since the previous update. ▲ 69 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 74% on August 9, 2026. Joaquin Niemann won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 8	Today	Move
Joaquin Niemann	80%	74%	▼ 6

Full history table

Date	Joaquin Niemann
2026-08-09	74%
2026-08-08	80%
2026-08-07	54%
2026-08-06	8%
2026-08-05	6%
2026-08-04	6%
2026-08-03	4%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 9, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 74%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 4% on August 3, 2026 to 74% on August 9, 2026 — a change of 70 points.
Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 80%. The final reading of 74% sits inside that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Joaquin Niemann win the LIV Golf New York” for 7 days, since August 3, 2026. As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 74%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 4% to 74%, ranging between 4% and 80% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.