Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since October 15, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 16, 2026

38%

Final tracked odds

As of October 16, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 38%.

▲ 5 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 40% on October 16, 2026. Before Dec 1, 2026 won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 15	Today	Move
Before Dec 1, 2026	32%	38%	▲ 5

Full history table

Date	Before Dec 1, 2026
2026-10-16	38%
2026-10-15	32%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 16, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 38%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 32% on October 15, 2026 to 38% on October 16, 2026 — a change of 6 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026” for 2 days, since October 15, 2026. As of October 16, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 38%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 32% to 38%, ranging between 32% and 38% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 16, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.