Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 77%. The final reading of 77% sits at the top of that range.

Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since October 9, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 12, 2026

77%

Final tracked odds

As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 77%.

▲ 38 since the previous update. ▲ 57 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 75% on October 12, 2026. Before Nov 1, 2026 won.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Oct 11	Today	Move
Before Nov 1, 2026	40%	77%	▲ 38

Full history table

Date	Before Nov 1, 2026
2026-10-12	77%
2026-10-11	40%
2026-10-10	20%
2026-10-09	20%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, October 12, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 77%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?: Up. Over the 4 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 20% on October 9, 2026 to 77% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 57 points.
Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 4 tracked days the odds ranged between 20% and 77%. The final reading of 77% sits at the top of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Kimberly Guilfoyle be out as US Ambassador to Greece before Nov 1, 2026” for 4 days, since October 9, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 77%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 20% to 77%, ranging between 20% and 77% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.