NASCAR · tracked since August 4, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 9, 2026
Final tracked odds
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 3 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
What happened: The market said 7% on August 9, 2026. It didn't happen.
| Outcome | Aug 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 6% | 6% | ▲ 1 |
| Date | Kyle Larson |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 6% |
| 2026-08-08 | 6% |
| 2026-08-07 | 8% |
| 2026-08-06 | 8% |
| 2026-08-05 | 8% |
| 2026-08-04 | 10% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Iowa Corn 350 Powered by Ethanol winner” for 6 days, since August 4, 2026. As of August 9, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 10% to 6%, ranging between 6% and 10% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 9, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.