The Morning Line

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Politics · tracked since July 9, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET

0.1%

Today’s odds

As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 0.1%.

Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%Jul 9Jul 19Aug 20Aug 29Sep 6Yes — Jul 9: 0.1%Yes — Sep 6: 0.1%0.1%

Every outcome we track

OutcomeSep 5TodayMove
Yes0.1%0.1%
Full history table
DateYes
2026-09-060.1%
2026-09-050.1%
2026-09-040.1%
2026-09-030.1%
2026-09-020.1%
2026-09-010.1%
2026-08-310.1%
2026-08-300.1%
2026-08-290.1%
2026-08-280.1%
2026-08-270.1%
2026-08-260.1%
2026-08-250.1%
2026-08-240.1%
2026-08-230.1%
2026-08-220.1%
2026-08-210.1%
2026-08-200.1%
2026-08-190.1%
2026-08-180.1%
2026-08-120.1%
2026-08-110.1%
2026-07-310.1%
2026-07-300.1%
2026-07-290.1%
2026-07-260.1%
2026-07-190.1%
2026-07-180.1%
2026-07-170.1%
2026-07-160.1%
2026-07-150.1%
2026-07-140.1%
2026-07-130.1%
2026-07-110.1%
2026-07-090.1%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.

Common questions

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026 — what are the odds?
As of September 6, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 0.1%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026 — how much have the odds move?
Barely. Across 35 tracked days the odds held near 0.1%, ending at 0.1% on September 6, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026” for 35 days, since July 9, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 0.1%. The chance for a yes has held near 0.1% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.

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