Final tracked odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 6%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since October 8, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 12, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. ▲ 4 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Allen | 5% | 6% | — |
| Date | Tim Allen |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 6% |
| 2026-10-11 | 5% |
| 2026-10-09 | 6% |
| 2026-10-08 | 4% |
| 2026-10-07 * | 1.0% |
* reference history from the market’s own records, before our tracking began.
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will Tim Allen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards” for 4 days, since October 8, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 6%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 4% to 6% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.