Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, August 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on August 7, 2026 to 4% on August 26, 2026 — a change of 22 points.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — what were the highest and lowest odds?

Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 40%. The final reading of 4% sits at the bottom of that range.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Everything Else · tracked since August 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 26, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of August 26, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 28 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 25	Today	Move
Yes	10%	4%	▼ 7

Full history table

Date	Yes
2026-08-26	4%
2026-08-25	10%
2026-08-24	40%
2026-08-10	32%
2026-08-09	24%
2026-08-08	22%
2026-08-07	26%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, August 26, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 26% on August 7, 2026 to 4% on August 26, 2026 — a change of 22 points.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August — what were the highest and lowest odds?: Over 7 tracked days the odds ranged between 4% and 40%. The final reading of 4% sits at the bottom of that range.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August” for 7 days, since August 7, 2026. As of August 26, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 26% to 4%, ranging between 4% and 40% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 26, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.