Final tracked odds
As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 62%.
▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Everything Else · tracked since July 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on August 18, 2026
Final tracked odds
▼ 7 since the previous update. ▼ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Aug 17 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | 62% | ▼ 7 |
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | 62% |
| 2026-08-17 | 70% |
| 2026-08-16 | 68% |
| 2026-08-15 | 68% |
| 2026-08-14 | 66% |
| 2026-08-13 | 66% |
| 2026-08-12 | 66% |
| 2026-08-11 | 66% |
| 2026-08-10 | 66% |
| 2026-08-09 | 66% |
| 2026-08-08 | 68% |
| 2026-08-07 | 68% |
| 2026-08-06 | 67% |
| 2026-08-05 | 68% |
| 2026-08-04 | 69% |
| 2026-08-03 | 69% |
| 2026-08-02 | 70% |
| 2026-08-01 | 69% |
| 2026-07-31 | 70% |
| 2026-07-30 | 66% |
| 2026-07-29 | 66% |
| 2026-07-28 | 67% |
| 2026-07-27 | 66% |
| 2026-07-24 | 67% |
| 2026-07-23 | 62% |
| 2026-07-22 | 62% |
| 2026-07-21 | 68% |
| 2026-07-20 | 68% |
| 2026-07-16 | 68% |
| 2026-07-15 | 68% |
| 2026-07-13 | 68% |
| 2026-07-12 | 68% |
| 2026-07-11 | 69% |
| 2026-07-10 | 70% |
| 2026-07-09 | 70% |
| 2026-07-08 | 72% |
| 2026-07-07 | 72% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027” for 37 days, since July 7, 2026. As of August 18, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 62%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 72% to 62%, ranging between 62% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on August 18, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.