Today’s odds
As of September 6, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 5.2% the most likely outcome at 72%.
▲ 2 since the previous update. ▲ 5 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026?
Economy · tracked since August 27, 2026 · last updated 11:43 AM ET
72%
How the odds have moved
Above 5.2%Above 5.3%Above 5.4%
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Sep 1 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.2% | 71% | 72% | ▲ 2 |
| Above 5.3% | 37% | 49% | ▲ 12 |
| Above 5.4% | 16% | 16% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 5.2% | Above 5.3% | Above 5.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 72% | 49% | 16% |
| 2026-09-01 | 71% | 37% | 16% |
| 2026-08-31 | 68% | 40% | 14% |
| 2026-08-30 | 68% | 40% | 14% |
| 2026-08-29 | 64% | 40% | 13% |
| 2026-08-28 | 64% | 26% | 10% |
| 2026-08-27 | — | — | 22% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — what are the odds?
- As of September 6, 2026, Above 5.2% leads at 72%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 64% on August 28, 2026 to 72% on September 6, 2026 — a change of 8 points.
- Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026 — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 64% and 72%. The current reading of 72% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Brazil unemployment rate in August 2026” for 6 days, since August 27, 2026. As of September 6, 2026, Above 5.2% leads the field at 72%. The chance for Above 5.2% has risen from 64% to 72%, ranging between 64% and 72% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.