Christian Mbilli wins — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 24%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Christian Mbilli wins — did the odds go up or down?

Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 12, 2026 to 24% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

Christian Mbilli wins?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Christian Mbilli wins?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Boxing · tracked since September 12, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 28, 2026

24%

Final tracked odds

As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 24%.

▼ 2 since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 24% on September 28, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Sep 22	Today	Move
Christian Mbilli	26%	24%	▼ 2

Full history table

Date	Christian Mbilli
2026-09-28	24%
2026-09-22	26%
2026-09-21	26%
2026-09-15	29%
2026-09-14	29%
2026-09-13	30%
2026-09-12	28%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Christian Mbilli wins — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 28, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 24%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Christian Mbilli wins — did the odds go up or down?: Down. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 28% on September 12, 2026 to 24% on September 28, 2026 — a change of 4 points.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Christian Mbilli wins” for 7 days, since September 12, 2026. As of September 28, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 24%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 28% to 24%, ranging between 24% and 30% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 28, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.