Darwin Blanch wins — what were the odds?

As of the last morning we tracked it, September 1, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.

Darwin Blanch wins — how much did the odds move?

Barely. Across 5 tracked days the odds held near 5%, ending at 4% on September 1, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

Darwin Blanch wins?

Name: Daily market-consensus odds: Darwin Blanch wins?
Creator: The Morning Line
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Tennis · tracked since August 28, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on September 1, 2026

Final tracked odds

As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 4%.

Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.

What happened: The market said 4% on September 1, 2026. It didn't happen.

How the odds have moved

Every outcome we track

Outcome	Aug 31	Today	Move
Darwin Blanch	4%	4%	—

Full history table

Date	Darwin Blanch
2026-09-01	4%
2026-08-31	4%
2026-08-30	4%
2026-08-29	4%
2026-08-28	5%

Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.

Common questions

Darwin Blanch wins — what were the odds?: As of the last morning we tracked it, September 1, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 4%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
Darwin Blanch wins — how much did the odds move?: Barely. Across 5 tracked days the odds held near 5%, ending at 4% on September 1, 2026 — a question the market has not changed its mind about.

About this question

The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Darwin Blanch wins” for 5 days, since August 28, 2026. As of September 1, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 4%. The final tracked chance for a yes has held near 5% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on September 1, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.