Final tracked odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 20 the most likely outcome at 94%.
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Culture · tracked since October 2, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 12, 2026
Final tracked odds
Unchanged since the previous update. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
| Outcome | Oct 11 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20 | 94% | 94% | — |
| Above 25 | — | 90% | — |
| Above 30 | 84% | 84% | — |
| Above 40 | — | 70% | — |
| Date | Above 20 | Above 25 | Above 30 | Above 40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 94% | 90% | 84% | 70% |
| 2026-10-11 | 94% | — | 84% | — |
| 2026-10-09 | 94% | — | 84% | — |
| 2026-10-08 | 94% | — | 84% | — |
| 2026-10-06 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-05 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-04 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-02 | — | — | — | — |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Ebenezer Rotten Tomatoes score” for 4 days, since October 2, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, Above 20 leads the field at 94%. The final tracked chance for Above 20 has held near 94% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.