Final tracked odds
As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 63%.
▼ 1 since the previous update. ▼ 18 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 18, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on November 3, 2026
63%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 31 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64% | 63% | ▼ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | 63% |
| 2026-10-31 | 64% |
| 2026-10-30 | 68% |
| 2026-10-29 | 66% |
| 2026-10-28 | 66% |
| 2026-10-18 | 80% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, November 3, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 63%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Down. Over the 6 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 80% on October 18, 2026 to 63% on November 3, 2026 — a change of 17 points.
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 6 tracked days the odds ranged between 63% and 80%. The final reading of 63% sits at the bottom of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026” for 6 days, since October 18, 2026. As of November 3, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 63%. The final tracked chance for a yes has fallen from 80% to 63%, ranging between 63% and 80% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on November 3, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.