Final tracked odds
As of October 17, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 21%.
▲ 1 since the previous update. ▲ 1 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since October 1, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 17, 2026
21%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 21% | ▲ 1 |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 21% |
| 2026-10-08 | 20% |
| 2026-10-07 | 20% |
| 2026-10-06 | 20% |
| 2026-10-05 | 21% |
| 2026-10-02 | 19% |
| 2026-10-01 | 19% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 17, 2026, the market-consensus chance was 21%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 7 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 19% on October 1, 2026 to 21% on October 17, 2026 — a change of 2 points.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch” for 7 days, since October 1, 2026. As of October 17, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 21%. The final tracked chance for a yes has risen from 19% to 21%, ranging between 19% and 21% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 17, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.