Today’s odds
As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds put the chance at 94%.
Unchanged since the previous update. ▼ 2 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Everything Else · tracked since October 6, 2026 · last updated 3:00 PM ET
94%
How the odds have moved
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Nov 3 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | 94% | — |
Full history table
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-04 | 94% |
| 2026-11-03 | 94% |
| 2026-11-02 | 95% |
| 2026-11-01 | 92% |
| 2026-10-31 | 95% |
| 2026-10-30 | 94% |
| 2026-10-29 | 96% |
| 2026-10-28 | 96% |
| 2026-10-27 | 91% |
| 2026-10-20 | 78% |
| 2026-10-19 | 78% |
| 2026-10-18 | 72% |
| 2026-10-17 | 78% |
| 2026-10-16 | 78% |
| 2026-10-15 | 80% |
| 2026-10-14 | 81% |
| 2026-10-13 | 78% |
| 2026-10-12 | 82% |
| 2026-10-11 | 80% |
| 2026-10-10 | 76% |
| 2026-10-09 | 72% |
| 2026-10-08 | 66% |
| 2026-10-07 | 74% |
| 2026-10-06 | 68% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. Updated every morning; past values never change.
Common questions
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the odds?
- As of November 4, 2026, the market-consensus chance is 94%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — have the odds gone up or down?
- Up. Over the 24 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 68% on October 6, 2026 to 94% on November 4, 2026 — a change of 26 points.
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch — what are the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 24 tracked days the odds ranged between 66% and 96%. The current reading of 94% sits inside that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch” for 24 days, since October 6, 2026. As of November 4, 2026, market-consensus odds sit at 94%. The chance for a yes has risen from 68% to 94%, ranging between 66% and 96% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. This page updates every morning with the full daily history, free to download as JSON or CSV.