Final tracked odds
As of October 12, 2026, market-consensus odds make Above 2 inches the most likely outcome at 16%.
▲ 6 since the previous update. ▲ 6 over the last 7 days. Probabilities are market-consensus forecasts, not predictions.
Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026?
Everything Else · tracked since October 7, 2026 · no longer updating — this question left the market on October 12, 2026
16%
How the odds have moved
Above 2 inchesAbove 4 inchesAbove 6 inchesAbove 8 inchesAbove 10 inches
Every outcome we track
| Outcome | Oct 8 | Today | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2 inches | 10% | 16% | ▲ 6 |
| Above 4 inches | — | 12% | — |
| Above 6 inches | 4% | 11% | ▲ 8 |
| Above 8 inches | 4% | 8% | ▲ 4 |
| Above 10 inches | 2% | 4% | ▲ 2 |
Full history table
| Date | Above 2 inches | Above 4 inches | Above 6 inches | Above 8 inches | Above 10 inches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| 2026-10-08 | 10% | — | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| 2026-10-07 | — | — | — | 4% | 2% |
Use this data. The full daily history behind this page is free to download and reuse with a link back to this page: Download the full daily odds history (CSV) · the same history as JSON · about the open data. The record is final; past values never change.
Common questions
- Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026 — what were the odds?
- As of the last morning we tracked it, October 12, 2026, Above 2 inches led at 16%. That is the aggregated judgment of traders with money at stake, reported by The Morning Line — not our own prediction.
- Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026 — did the odds go up or down?
- Up. Over the 2 days we tracked this question, the odds moved from 10% on October 8, 2026 to 16% on October 12, 2026 — a change of 6 points.
- Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026 — what were the highest and lowest odds?
- Over 2 tracked days the odds ranged between 10% and 16%. The final reading of 16% sits at the top of that range.
About this question
The Morning Line has reported the market-consensus odds on “Snow in Seattle in Dec 2026” for 2 days, since October 7, 2026. As of October 12, 2026, Above 2 inches leads the field at 16%. The final tracked chance for Above 2 inches has risen from 10% to 16%, ranging between 10% and 16% across that stretch. These are reported probabilities, not our own predictions. The question left the market on October 12, 2026, and this page is now a permanent record.